The Institute of Mathematics and its Applications
North Hampshire, Surrey & Berkshire Branch
invites you to hear:
"Non-Parametric Measures of Association in Counter-Insurgency (COIN) Campaign Analysis"
by
invites you to hear:
by
Abstract: This presentation will describe how non-parametric inferential statistics techniques more commonly found in the social sciences have been used in recent research within MoD to identify success factors for states and their security forces in generic counter-insurgency (COIN) campaigns that are statistically significantly associated with the achievement of campaign success. The Goodman-Kruskal Gamma and Somers' D measures of association will be reviewed, their mechanisms of operation outlined and the application of them to the military analytical problem discussed. Finally, an unorthodox (and possibly insane) home-brewed local extension of Gamma from a bivariate to a trivariate measure of association developed to address a subsidiary analysis problem from this research whilst making maximum use of the information content in a strictly limited size data sample will be discussed.
To find the Cody Sports & Social Club, visit http://www.north-hants-ima.ukscientists.com/Maps/cody_directions.htm.
If you expect to attend please inform the Branch Membership Secretary, Chris Jeggo (chris.jeggo@baesystems.com, or 27 York Road, Woking, GU22 7XH, or tel. 01483 870218 (home)), to assist us in making catering arrangements. For details of other N. Hants, Surrey and Berkshire Branch activities visit http://www.north-hants-ima.ukscientists.com/ or contact the Branch Membership Secretary as above.